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  • Super Central Bank Week Continues with ECB, BoE, and BoJ in the Spotlight

Super Central Bank Week Continues with ECB, BoE, and BoJ in the Spotlight

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This week continues the “Super Central Bank Week” theme, with the focus shifting to the European Central Bank, the Bank of England, and the Bank of Japan. Markets are bracing for a dense series of impacts, including the U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls report, inflation data from the UK, US, and Europe, and rate decisions from the three aforementioned central banks.

Key Event to Watch:

1. U.S. November Non-Farm Payrolls Report – Tuesday

This is the week’s super-data. The market will be closely watching the number of new jobs added and the growth in average hourly earnings. A strong report could diminish market expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts next year, thereby boosting the U.S. dollar.

2. UK November CPI Data – Wednesday

This is the most critical piece of data ahead of the Bank of England’s rate decision on Thursday. If inflation does not fall as quickly as expected, it will compel the BoE to maintain a more hawkish stance, which would provide support for the pound sterling.

3. Bank of England & ECB Rate Decisions – Thursday

Two major central banks will announce their decisions on the same day:

Bank of England (BoE): The consensus is for rates to be held steady. The hawk-dove leanings revealed in the policy statement and the vote split will dictate the direction of the pound.

European Central Bank (ECB): The market also expects the ECB to stand pat. The focus will be on President Lagarde’s press conference, where any hints about the timing of future rate cuts will significantly impact the euro.

4. Bank of Japan Rate Decision & U.S. November Core PCE Price Index – Friday

The week concludes with two major events:

Bank of Japan (BoJ) Decision: The market is watching the magnitude of a potential rate hike. Especially against the backdrop of Japan’s loose fiscal policy, the yen could experience a rapid appreciation, and a surge in JGB yields might accelerate the yen’s strength.

U.S. Core PCE: This is the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge and is extremely important. The data will directly verify the trend reflected in the CPI and will profoundly influence future policy expectations for the Fed.

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